Tropical Storm Helene forms, expected to become major hurricane as it approaches Florida
The forecast currently has Helene getting up to a Category 3 hurricane as it approaches landfall by Thursday in the Big Bend of Florida
Weather
Sunday was the world’s hottest day on record
By Chelsea Ambriz
The hottest day ever recorded on the planet was this past Sunday, July 21.
July 21, 2024 came in at 62.76 degrees Fahrenheit (17.09 degrees Celsius). It was the hottest day on Earth since at least 1940, according to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service.
Read more: https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/changing-climate-south-florida/worlds-hottest-day/3369830/
NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are major drivers of tropical activity
NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.
NOAA is forecasting:
- a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher).
- Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher),
- including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher).
- Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.
The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation.
To read more about NOAA National Weather Service Forecast:
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season
Forecasters predicting ‘very active’ 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
By NBC6 • Published April 4, 2024
Forecasters are predicting a “very active” 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with 23 named storms and 11 hurricanes expected.
The hurricane season begins June 1 and ends November 30.
Read the full article:
https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/researchers-predicting-very-active-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-heres-why/3276306/?break=nbc6127&_osource=newltr_station_Hdlines_wtvj
Dangerous heat waves
Dangerous heat waves will hit the Southwest and Florida over the next week
A long and intense heat wave is about to bake parts of Arizona, New Mexico and interior California. Meanwhile, a separate broiling front is causing life-threatening temperatures in South Florida.
Read more: https://wusfnews.wusf.usf.edu/2023-07-08/dangerous-heat-waves-will-hit-the-southwest-and-florida-over-the-next-week
Tropical Storm Arlene forms off the coast of Florida
Tropical Storm Arlene, the first named storm of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, formed Friday afternoon in the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center said.
Forecasts from the hurricane center said the storm is expected to remain offshore and have only minimal impact in Florida or any land area as it meanders south in the Gulf.
Hurricane Preparation Info
Hurricane Information & Suggested Supplies:After a disaster, local officials and relief workers will be on the scene, but they cannot reach everyone immediately. You could get help in hours, or it may take days. It is best to prepare for the event of a hurricane and be as self sufficient as you are able. One way to prepare is by assembling a Disaster Supplies Kit. Once disaster hits, you won’t have time to shop or search for supplies. But if you’ve gathered supplies in advance, your family can endure an evacuation or home confinement.To Prepare Your KitYou may need your supplies if your family is confined at home. Place the supplies you’d most likely need for an evacuation in an easy-to-carry container. There are six basics you should stock for your home: water, food, first aid supplies, clothing and bedding, tools and emergency supplies and special items. Keep the items that you would most likely need during an evacuation in an easy-to carry container. Possible containers include:
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WaterStore water in plastic containers such as soft drink bottles. Avoid using containers that will decompose or break, such as milk cartons or glass bottles. A normally active person needs to drink at least two – four quarts of water each day. Hot environments and intense physical activity can double that amount. Children, nursing mothers and ill people will need more. Store one gallon of water per person. Keep at least a three-day supply of per day (two quarts for drinking, two quarts of water for each person in your household for food preparation/sanitation.) |
First-Aid KitAssemble a first-aid kit for your home and one for each car. A first-aid kit should include:
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Tools and Supplies | |
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Sanitation
Clothing and Bedding
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Special Disaster Readiness ItemsRemember family members with special needs, such as infants and elderly or disabled persons |
| For Baby | For Adults | Entertainment |
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Storing Your Disaster KitStore your kit in a convenient place known to all family members. Keep a smaller version of the Disaster Supplies Kit in the trunk of your car. Keep items in air tight plastic bags. Change your stored water supply every six months so it stays fresh. Replace your stored food every six months. Re-think your kit and family needs at least once a year. Replace batteries, update clothes, etc. Ask your physician or pharmacist about storing prescription medications.Other thoughts:
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Sample Emergency list:
Food
Store at least a four-day supply of non-perishable food. Select foods that require no refrigeration, preparation or cooking and little or no water. If you must heat food, pack a can of sterno. Select food items that are compact and lightweight. Include a selection of the following foods in your Disaster Supplies Kit: Ready-to-eat canned meats, fruits and vegetables. Adjust the amount for the number of family members – I am assuming a family of 4.| DRY FOOD | CANNED GOODS |
| 1 box – Saltine Crackers 5 lb bag – Rice 1 box – Granola Bars 1 box – Potato Sticks 1 box – Instant Oatmeal 2 jars – Peanut Butter 1 bag – M&M’s 1 bag – Almonds 2 bags – Pre-sweetened Kool-aid 2 boxes – Macaroni & Cheese 2 boxes – Cup-a-soup 1 box – Raisins 2 boxes – Jello 1 jar – Instant Coffee 1 box – Tea 1 box – Sugar 1 jar – Creamer | 4 cans – Pork & Beans or Vegetarian beans 4 cans – White potatoes 4 cans – Corn 4 cans – Green beans 4 cans – Soup – Chicken Noodle 4 cans – Spaghetti & meatballs 4 cans – Ravioli 4 cans – Spam 8 cans – Tuna fish 2 cans – Chili 2 cans – Beef Stew 4 can – Pears 4 can – Fruit cocktail 1 can – Pineapple 1 can – Peaches 1 6 pack -Applesauce |
| WATER – Key – 1 gallon per person per day (4) gallons per day 28 gallons per week per person or 112 quarts per week per week | |
| STAPLES | CAMPING SUPPLIES |
| 1 – Battery Alarm clock 1 – Can opener 50 each – Paper Plates 50 each – Hot Cups 50 each – Plastic spoons & forks 1 box – Aluminum Foil 2 bars – Soap 1 – tube of tooth paste 4 – tooth brushes 1 bottle – Shampoo 4 rolls – Toilet paper 4 rolls – Paper towels 1 roll – Masking tape 1 roll -Duct tape 6 Boxes -Matches or (2-3) butane lighters 16 – D Batteries 16 – C Batteries 32 – AA Batteries 2 – Flashlights 1 – Portable Radio 1 – bottle Clorox Bleach 1 – Medicine Dropper 1 – First Aid Kit 1 – Box Sanitary Napkins 1 – Envelope with $200.00 in $10, $1 & $5’s 1 – container Pet food – if you have a pet | 4 – Sleeping Bags 4 – Blankets, Pillows 4 – Camping mattress 1 – Mosquito Repellent 1 – Bottle os SPF 50 Sunscreen 1 – Mosquito Netting 1 – Lantern – for Outdoor Use 1 – gallon Lantern Fuel- for Outdoor Use 1 – Camp Stove (If you don’t have one, get a small Sterno stove) or gas BBQ 2 – filled propane gas tanks for BBQ 1 – set of cooking utensils for BBQ 1 – Cooking Kit – pots, pans, kettle, large spoon ———————————————– CLOTHING (4) sets – 2 changes of Clothing per day (4) Hats – for sun protections (4) Toilet Kits (4) Towels (4) Sturdy Footwear |
Above-Average 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Colorado State Researchers Predict Above-Average 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU calls for above-average season: 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. Reasons for above-average forecast include predicted lack of #ElNino and warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic
Miami – South Florida Weather Forecast
Severe Storms and Heavy Rainfall Across the Central U.S. Today
A slow moving frontal boundary will produce severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail, and possibly a few tornadoes from the Central Plains to Lower Great Lakes today. Heavy rainfall from these thunderstorms will also produce flash flooding in some areas. Meanwhile, a subtropical depression or storm may form near or north of the Bahamas this weekend.
Visit this link to see the weather maps:
https://www.weather.gov/mfl/
Atlantic Hurricane Forecast for 2019
2019 Atlantic hurricane forecast – season with 13 named storms
Published 11:26 a.m. ET April 4, 2019 | Updated 9:02 a.m. ET April 5, 2019
The Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, is forecast to have five storms reach hurricane status, according to a team of researchers at Colorado State University. Two of the hurricanes are forecast to reach “major hurricane strength†of Category 3 to 5, or winds of 111 mph or greater.
- 13 tropical storms are forecast to form, of which 5 will be hurricanes.
- A weak El Nino and cool Atlantic waters are 2 limiting factors this year.
- Insurance companies, emergency managers and the media use the forecasts.
2019 Hurricane Names
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2019-04-08-hurricane-names-2019-atlantic-season
National Hurricane Center
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
What to Do Before the Tropical Storm or Hurricane
https://www.weather.gov/safety/hurricane-plan
Hurricane Michael Is Close to Catastrophic
Hurricane Michael is close to a catastrophic, unprecedented Category 4 strike on the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend with a life-threatening storm surge and over 100 mph winds possible not just near the coast, but also inland that could leave some areas without power for over a week.
Photo by: The NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS)
Five Day Graphical Weather Outlook – Please Not Again!
From the National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 15 2017
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jose, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and on
Tropical Depression Fourteen, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
1. A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in 2 or 3 days. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
Forecaster Blake