NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are major drivers of tropical activity

NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.

NOAA is forecasting:

  • a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher).
  • Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher),
  • including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher).
  • Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.

The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation.

To read more about NOAA National Weather Service Forecast:
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season

Forecasters predicting ‘very active’ 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
By NBC6 • Published April 4, 2024

Forecasters are predicting a “very active” 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with 23 named storms and 11 hurricanes expected.
The hurricane season begins June 1 and ends November 30.

Read the full article:
https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/researchers-predicting-very-active-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-heres-why/3276306/?break=nbc6127&_osource=newltr_station_Hdlines_wtvj